Melbourne Cricket Ground - 29th January 2016

  • After an impressive victory in the first T20, India will be looking to secure a second victory here against an Australia side that, despite the big names, looks quite weak.
  • An unbeaten 90 from 71 balls from Virat Kohl helped India set 188 for the Aussies to chase, and the market had the chasing side favourites, despite the fact that this would have been the highest successful chase at the ground. The hosts got off to a flying start, with Aaron Finch demolishing the Indian seamers, before Ashwin and Jadeja came on and immediately started picking up wickets, taking four of Australia's top six between them.
  • The Melbourne Cricket Ground has a history of high chases, and with the two weak bowling attacks on show here, another one would not be a surprise.
  • If I was trading this scenario, I would prefer India to be chasing, as the Australians really struggle against spin. This was made painfully obvious in the first T20, and opposing Australia when spinners are bowling will be a strategy that will pay dividends over the next few months with the World T20 coming up in India.
  • Selling their run line on the spread when the spinners come on would be one way to play this, as the nature of spread betting means we can lock in profit easily. If you want to learn what spread betting is and how you can us it to maximise your edge, I've written a post on it here. If you want to try spread betting out, Sporting Index will give you £100 to play with for free when you open an account with them.
  • The market is priced a lot fairer this time around, with Australia still favourites, but at around 1.72 compared to the 1.5x last game. I fancy India here, but will be trading this in-play rather than taking a position before the game.
  • One bet I have had is Ravi Ashwin to make 26 & over performance points with Bet365. This line is a little low for me, given the Australians difficulty with spin, and I'm happy to take this on.