Chittagong - 20th-24th October 2016
The first Test of England's winter tour of the subcontinent sees an inexperienced side face a Bangladesh team playing their first Test in 14 months.
The withdrawal of Alex Hales, dropping of James Vince and injury to Jimmy Anderson mean England will be forced into three changes, with Haseeb Hameed and Ben Duckett likely to make their debuts, and 39-year old Gareth Batty in line to earn his second cap. In contrast, Bangladesh will have the same top six as their last test, but may include two debutants in their bowling attack.
The fact that Bangladesh have only included two seamers in their 14-man squad is a fairly clear indication of what to expect from the pitch. With this in mind, I'm expecting England's inexperienced batting line up to struggle, and the lack of quality in their spin bowlers to mean the Bangladeshi batsmen won't be put under much pressure.
With two debutants in the top five, and Alistair Cook having had his preparation restricted by the birth of his second child, Joe Root stands a great chance of being England top run scorer. He's currently enhanced to 3/1 with Ladbrokes, which is massive value. Shakib al Hassan is an experienced campaigner, and will add vital runs in the middle order. His quote of 28.5 is a little on the low side, and against weak bowlers should be covered without trouble.
Trading View: Lay England sub-1.7. Keep the draw onside, and expect Bangladesh to trade a lot lower than their 7.8 starting price.
Back Joe Root for top England Batsman, enhanced to 4.00 with Ladbrokes
Back Shakib al Hassan to score over 28.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes