Dhaka - 28th  October-1st November 2016

AFP

Credit: AFP

After what was an incredible Test, both from a viewing and trading perspective, a changed England side head to Dhaka looking to seal the series against a Bangladesh team who will undoubtedly be buoyed by their performance in the first Test. Bangladesh needed 60 runs with five wickets remaining, before crumbling under the pressure and falling 22 runs short.

The hosts come into this without Shafiul Islam, one of the two seamers they played previously, and could field four spinners here. England will have an unchanged top six, with Gareth Batty being 'rotated' for Zafar Ansari, who will make his Test debut, and Steven Finn will come in for Stuart Broad.

Historically, Dhaka is far more of a result ground than Chittagong, and the pitch is expected to be easier for the batsmen early on. With the fragility of both batting line ups, a draw here looks unlikely.

Given the struggles England's top order faced last time out, and their weakened bowling attack, Bangladesh have every chance of going one better and securing their first win over England. The 1.75 about England currently on Betfair doesn't appeal at all, and looks like an easy lay. Backing Bangladesh above 5s is mega value here too, and I'd be very surprised if they don't trade sub 3s. Do bear in mind, though that the market really fancies England, backing them in from around evens to 1.75 pre-off. With Bangladesh's tendency to choke massively from winning positions, holding green on them for too long isn't advised.

Looking at angles on individual players, I'm looking to exploit England top order fragility here. As during the summer, backing one of their immensely talented middle and lower order for top batsman offers massive value. Ben Stokes has proved himself as a match winner on this tour already, scoring an unbeaten 47 and seeing the game out in the second ODI. The 8s about him to top England's batting looks far to big and well worth backing.

Trading Notes: Expect Bangladesh to push England hard, and get in winning positions. Don't trust the to close out though, and don't hold risk on them too long.

Back Ben Stokes for Top England batsman at 8.00 with Ladbrokes

Back Moeen Ali to take over 1.5 wickets in the first innings at 1.80 with Ladbrokes