Adelaide Oval - 13th January 2016
- In their final group game of BBL05, the Hurricanes need a win to give themselves the best chance of qualifying for the play-offs, Adelaide have another game after this one, and with the best record in the competition will prove a stern test for the visitors.
- The Adelaide Oval is a ground where sides have struggled to chase totals, with 59% of games won by the side batting first. Scores of 160+ here are defended 80% of the time.
- Looking at the BBL05 team stats page for these sides, the Hurricanes have not won either of the games in which they have batted second, having conceded the second-highest mean runs of all sides. The Strikers are in the bottom three in terms of mean runs scored when batting first, but have won two of these three games, underlining their bowlers ability to put pressure on chasing sides.
- Both sides see key players away on international duty, with the Strikers missing opening bowler Kane Richardson, and the Hurricanes missing top run scorer George Bailey. There are injury questions over Strikers opening batsman Mahela Jayawardene, who picked up a leg injury in the Strikers last game.
- Although I think the Strikers have enough about them to beat the Hurricanes here, missing Jayawardene and Richardson is a big negative, and enough to put me off backing them at the 1.7 offered currently.
- With twelve wickets in the competition so far, Adil Rashid has had an excellent BBL05, and with the Hurricanes weakness against spin exposed last week by the two Melbourne sides, backing him to be the Strikers top wicket taker looks a sensible play.
- Given that the Strikers top thee all scored 50s in their last game, and that the Hurricanes bowling attack has leaked a lot of runs, looking at overs or buying runs will be my play here should they bat first. After a slow start to the tournament, Travis Head has roared into life, scoring 101, 50 and 51 in his last three innings, with his run line at 22.5, this is an auto-back with a line this low. Tim Ludeman has a similarly poor start, but has made 26, 30 and 57 in his last three innings, and the 20.5 line here looks a few runs too low for me.
Back Adil Rashid for top Strikers wicket taker at 4.00 with Ladbrokes
Back Travis Head to score over 22.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes
Back Tim Ludeman to score over 20.5 runs at 1.83 with Ladbrokes